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RochesterExpat

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Posts posted by RochesterExpat

  1. We laid a few engineers off earlier this week following layoffs at the end of last year. It's not fun at all. Seems a lot of companies overextended during the period of low interest rates and the expected returns never materialized. This is a consequence of that.

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  2. 5 hours ago, inkman said:

    Great analysis. I watch most Amerks games but my focus isn’t exactly on player analysis or development.  

    It's also harder to notice defensive players than offensive. I watch AHL.tv and the camera work... needs work. Novikov definitely slumped for a stretch after a pretty noticeable start, but he's been pretty steady as of late. 

    His point totals aren't bad for an AHL rookie d-man at 35 GP, 1G, 12A, 13P. I know +/- may be a pretty garbage stat, but the only active D with positive +/- are Novikov at +12 and his current D partners, Metsa (+6 / 23GP) and Laaouan (+1, 1GP). Novikov leads the entire team in the stat at +12 and the next closest is a multiway tie at +6. Of course, only 6 active skaters on the Amerks are above zero, but that's a different issue.

    To go back to my bit about his utilization, he's not shooting nearly as much as the other D guys and his shots-per-game was higher in the KHL. That's definitely part of the reason for the lone goal in 35 games.

    4 hours ago, FrenchConnection44 said:

    Good stuff. No idea how ready he is to handle the NHL in any sort of reasonable way for a 20 year old. 

    Given the struggle he had with the culture shock of moving here, I think they will choose to keep him in Rochester and it would be understandable why. If he gets an NHL look, I would guess it is during a decently long home stretch. We have a four game home stretch starting tomorrow and there's the five game stretch from 3/27 to 4/5. Either of those would make sense to me.

    It's also possible they don't want to call him because Rochester is contending for a playoff spot and they'd rather have him experience that.

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  3. 1 hour ago, inkman said:

    Seems like skating might be what’s holding him back? 
     

     

    The 'skating issues' is a holdover from his scouting report pre-draft (2022) that said he was "slow" and clearly written by someone who spent five minutes watching tape from one game and didn't do even basic research.

    As I said in one of the many prospect threads during the off-season, the KHL tracks on-ice skating speed. Novikov was the fastest defenseman on the ice for either team (both top speed and average speed) for the majority of games he played in during the 2022-2023 season. In multiple games, he was straight-up the fastest skater on the ice for either team (top speed, not average). He was the only defenseman to repeat achieving the top game speed across the entire KHL for the full season as far as I could tell. That's wild.

    It's also worth noting that you can't maintain a high average speed if you don't know how to be agile and use your curves as well. It's one thing if he was always the fastest skater, but it's another entirely to average as the highest skater (note: the average is among D-men only--he never had the highest average speed in any game but neither did any defenseman in any game as far as I could tell and that makes some sense). The margins for being an outlier on speed isn't enough that posting the fastest speed is going to just automatically raise your average to the highest as well. You need to continue moving and keep your momentum in order to do that.

    I don't think his speed has been utilized as effectively in Rochester so this misguided perception continues to exist. He hasn't joined the rush as often as he did in the KHL or during prospect challenge/camp. It's not to say he isn't willing to join, but he tends to side more defensively in play. I think this is by design from the coaches who are more focused on positioning with him than maybe other defensemen on the team. Likely because of his status as an NA rookie.

    Lastly, it's worth mentioning that he's openly talked about how difficult the move to Rochester has been for him and his wife. We sometimes forget these are 20 year old kids moving 5,000 miles away from family and friends to a place with a completely different culture and language. Seth Appert talked about it as well and said that Novikov and his wife had a bit of a culture shock, but they're adjusting well now.

     

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  4. 45 minutes ago, Buffalonill said:

    What's the worst that could  happen  We suck more.

    Time to start looking at who the top 10 are in the draft and sort by 'highly skilled undersized perimeter forward' so we can figure out who we're drafting.

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  5. 15 hours ago, JohninMinn. said:

    67yrs old Class of 74.  50 year reunion this year. Looking forward to visiting the old stomping grounds. 

    Grateful to be alive. Them 70's and 80's were a blur...😅

     

     

    It’s a bit funny you mentioned reunions because the kid (he’s 9) asked what a reunion was the other day while visiting the grandparents for Sunday dinner. We explained it to him and my mom mentioned my dad should be having his 50th this year, but they won’t have one. So the kid asked grandpa why. My dad grew up in a “less than stellar” (his words) part of Buffalo in the 60s and 70s and told the 9 year old there was no need for reunions because the class stuck together since everyone attended Attica for post-secondary education and most of the class are still there. Went over the kid’s head but I was laughing.

    We drove past the house my dad grew up in a few times going to the Broadway Market on Good Friday when I still lived at home. It’s over by ECMC. Compared to the Rochester suburbs that I grew up in, “less than stellar” is an apt description.

  6. 16 hours ago, Flashsabre said:

    As someone who lives in Toronto and watches all his games, no you are not confident he can rebound. He has been downright awful. Worse than the 3 goalies the Sabres have. Washington punted him for a reason and now the Leafs do too. If you want awful goaltending then keep Comrie and save the money.

    He’s not a terrible goalie as far as skills go, but he is a good example of a head case. I don’t think Buffalo will do any better from a sports psychology perspective than Toronto was doing except maybe if you bring him in, send Levi to Rochester, and tell Samsonov how confident you are in him and basically try to fix his psyche (no idea how that actually works). Then you have to give him 15 of the next 20 starts to try and get the ball rolling… which completely kills any chance of the playoffs and only might get Samsonov in a mental place to play next season—after his contract expires.

  7. 23 hours ago, Pimlach said:

    It is now incumbent on the Core to grow up right now and to start providing that leadership

    Not to beat the dead horse, but one big difference between the post-lockout Sabres team and the current roster is the leadership aspect. Just look at how many players from that era are hockey executives in some capacity.

    Besides the obvious ones like Briere, Grier, and Drury as current NHL GMs, former players like Hecht (DEL assistant coach) and Kotalik (Extraliga Assistant GM) are in leadership roles as well. Not to mention Ryan Miller who is now a consultant I believe. Hell, even Vanek is a scout. And those are just the ones off the top of my head.

    Which three from the current roster do you think will be an NHL GM in 15 years? Can you even think of one?

  8. 2 hours ago, thewookie1 said:

    No, no no they shouldn't be available for a myriad of reasons

    I’m not suggesting they are in any way available or should be made available. But as far as “caring” if the player is traded, the above list is pretty much how I feel.

    it’s also possible I’m overvaluing Tuch’s trade value because the above is predicated on it being a proper haul. If it’s not, he moves to the first group bordering on second, and I would very much care if he were traded.

    As for Power, I don’t like him. I didn’t when they drafted him (I wanted to trade the pick). I hope I’m wrong about him but I just don’t see him being a value 1OA. I don’t even really know why I don’t like him. That’s the worst part. But given his draft pedigree, I think the rest of the league values him higher than I do. Hence his placement.

  9. Just now, thewookie1 said:

     

    I'd be insane not to take that deal lol; its more in realistic terms

    Yeah it’s just why I hate these questions. It’s hard to know what’s realistic for some players.

    I guess I’d look at he roster like this:

    Players I would keep because I don’t think the value is there due to the players being undervalued by the league and the return wouldn’t offset the loss:

    - JJP

    - Mitts

    - Quinn

    - R Johnson

    - Benson

    Players I would keep because I don’t think the value is there due to star player status making deals nigh impossible to predict or balance and would rather keep than risk:

    - Thompson

    - Dahlin

    Players I would keep because I admit I probably overvalue:

    - Levi

    - Cozens

    Players I would be willing to trade and who expect would be valued appropriately:

    - Tuch

    - Joki

    Players I suspect the league overvalues:

    - Power (former 1OA)

    - E Johnson (“veteran” presence)

    - Clifton (it worked for Risto!)

    Players never going anywhere for anything inbound so take a bag of pucks if you can:

    - VO

    - Jost

    - Krebs

    - Comrie

    - UPL

    No idea how the league values them:

    - Skinner

    - Greenway

     

     

     

     

     

  10. 4 hours ago, thewookie1 said:

    The fact anyone wants to move Dahlin is borderline insane.

    It’s kind of a silly question because there’s infinite upside to letting any player go. Would you give up Dahlin for  at Makar and MacKinnon at 50% retained plus 4 1sts? Of course you would.

    If you genuinely would never give up a player/prospect no matter what, I guess we should start calling you GMKA.

     

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