Marvin
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Posts posted by Marvin
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I am listening to the radio feed at work. The announcers mooted ROR as the Conn Smythe winner. Something else for JBott to chew on.
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4 hours ago, Neo said:
I smiled when I read this. We went to school, together! Our eyes found things and trained our hearts and minds. Frankly, it worked pretty darned well.
As Dudacek so insightfully pointed out, we’re using the same words to describe different things. Both matter. I’m better for analytics and a deeper understanding. Our eyes once told us the sun orbited the earth.
Remember first seeing Gretzky? I do. How did that skinny slow guy get three points last night?
As I was reading your post, I was thinking of a few of the analyses of Gretzky before he came into the NHL.
1. Won't hit.
2. Won't take a hit.
3. So-so on face-offs
4. Eccentric positioning with possession
5. Mediocre defencive play
All of these are true. As one analysis put it in 1993: "Big deal."
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3 hours ago, SwampD said:
What if it was a normal chicken chick that got blasted with radiation,... like Godzilla?
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Here are two ways that the coaches could use to work with Rasmus Ristolainen.
Let us suppose, ad arguendum, that Risto gets physically tired in a game after about 25 minutes and tires mentally after 5 games in a row with 25+ minutes. Analytics might be able to find some kind of "tell" that when Ristolainen is getting mentally tired and/or physically tired in the game.
Another possibility could be that he makes dumb moves because he still processes the information as if he were on a non-NA ice surface. You can see that by lining up his numbers against minor leaguers who just came to NA from Europe - they probably make the same mistakes in the AHL.
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I was wondering if anyone had thought about what might be useful lower-tier guys who could really help. I am thinking of the Steve Montador and Cody McCormick level. Just so that we don't ice 1 line and 1 pair every game that belongs in the minors.
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1 minute ago, Doohickie said:
Okay. I thought it was a hockey-specific acronym.
I doubt they mean literal GPS though; not sure how accurate it is inside structures like arenas. But using a positon tracking system seems to be another step in analytics.
Based on what little I have done with GPS, it is scary how accurate it is.
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I think all members of the PHWA should stop speculating about offer sheets until we actually see one signed or the genuine threat of one used to advantage.
The penalty will be being forced to hear "Itsy Bitsy Teenie Weenie Yellow Polka Dot Bikini" on a turntable off-centered until, like Horst Buchholz as "Otto Ludwig Piffl," s/he confesses to being "und Amerikanischer Spion."
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5 hours ago, ubkev said:
Danes always have the best names. His last name has a letter with a slash through it, for Pete sake. That's metal as *****.
I presume you mean a metal alloy like steel because there are no pure metals in the periodic that are 5 letters long. (Sorry. Too much time in the production lab and I smell like solder.)
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Just now, WildCard said:
For all we know he could have been a hard no but damn is watching Vince Dunn painful right now in light of Tage
Awe, man. I'm eating.
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On 5/31/2019 at 6:51 PM, Weave said:
Que?? Seems to me that they have come together. It's a marriage of convenience, but it's a marriage. Find a Republican in Congress or Senate willing to disagree publicly with the President. How many? 2? 3? They are in lock step right now.
You are correct.
On the national level, most Conservatives and Republicans who dislike Trump have been ostracised if not outright purged. Look at what happened to Justin Amash when he came out for impeaching Trump. IMHO, it looks like the desire to completely remake the Judiciary over-rules principle, honour, justice, backbone, and Truth.
Here on the ground, my assertion that, "Donald Trump is everything I dislike about Bill Clinton writ large," got my wife kicked out of a Pagan discussion group a couple of months ago. Trump has such a stranglehold on the NYS Republican Party that generations-long family loyalties and flat-out competence have been ignored in favour of blind loyalty.
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10 hours ago, SwampD said:
I agree with that about Chara, but he has also made plenty plays that were worthy of a hearing. It’s hockey, it happens. And one of the excuses that we heard why his hit wasn’t suspendable was that he had never been suspended before,... wuh? Is John Yossarian in charge of player safety?
MFT
This annoyance had its zenith with Chris Pronger. I always figured that while he was on a Sunbelt team that he was untouchable.
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On 5/28/2019 at 9:18 AM, LGR4GM said:
Trump didn't win some of those places by a landslide in 2016, I can't see him increasing his votes in 2020. Part of the problem with the polling now is their methodology and I would be curious to review the methodology of the polls featured. Are they gathering enough from each age group and how do they get them specifically. Further, I know so many people who simply did not want to vote for Hillary. https://phys.org/news/2019-01-poll-majority-millennials-trump-twitter.html
The bottom line is that this election is very much up in the air. Trump may sink his own ship with tariffs. He could also help sink it if his Supreme Court Justices are instrumental in over turning Row v. Wade. The real question is who comes out of the Democratic primaries.
I don't agree with you on the statement that Democrats have to adopt a platform "hard right" of their caucus. Hard right would be what? Right now the entire government is barreling hard right. There seems to be a lot of people not too happy with that. Every Democratic platform will modulate somewhat closer to middle left once a candidate is declared because that is how it typically goes.
Trump will never win in a "landslide" because he is too divisive.
I should have been clearer: Electoral landslide. I can easily see him losing the election by more than last time and still win 385-180 in the Electoral College. In fact, if I were a betting man, I would bet on him losing the popular vote by a greater margin than last time. But if the economic sugar high from the big spending increase and tax cuts keeps the economy seemingly improving rather than living on borrowed time, I can't see him losing the electoral vote at all.
As a (Bill) Clinton hater, I agree with a lot of the polling that Bill's and Hillary's baggage might have weighed her down too much. Also, his horrible character meant that Trump's character was never in question.
"Hard Right" is what I think a Democrat nowadays would think of the Simpson-Bowles plan fiscally (revised because of the Trumped Up Deficits), because it kills of any shot at Medicaid for All and cuts back on overall social spending -- even though it cuts overall weapons spending and increases taxes on everyone, particularly the rich. In particular, ditch the bits about free college for all (unaffordable). Go pro-second amendment -- but by saying that you the voter are presumed to have the Constitutional right to bear arms and the Constitutional right to vote unless the government can prove otherwise in a court of law; the burden is not on the voter. I agree with Democrats trying to stop voter-suppression laws; but just substitute the right terms and you see that the same argument holds for guns. (Remember that the next time the fringes argue for gun confiscation.) I also would recommend a sharp increase in cyber-security spending and an increase in readiness for the troops and better technical training overall.
I can get more specific, but this is broadly what I think would pull in different people who would not ordinarily vote for a Democrat. I beg of you all- please make it someone whom we never-Trumpers find palatable.
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/04/08/dems-fopo-murphy-1259699
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/05/trump-2020-second-term/585994/
https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/campaigns/article225994695.html
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1 hour ago, TrueBlueGED said:
To be fair, DOJ policy on not being able to indict a sitting president long predates Barr's arrival as AG. Anywho, I think the odds are really low, but greater than zero. Maybe 5%? Assuming a Democratic candidate replaces him, whether that's 2021 or 2025, I expect they'll be considerably more focused on reversing his policies than dealing with his obstruction of a closed investigation. That said, I'm sure there would be some interest among the fringe of the party to be out for blood.
This "rule" dates back to at least 1972 with the Special Prosecutor's office. This was the approximate consensus from later interviews with Archibald Cox, Eliot Richardson, William Ruckleshaus, Robert Bork, Leon Jaworski, and Sam Dash. The actual memoranda are at https://www.lawfareblog.com/indicting-president-not-foreclosed-complex-history
Here is how it played out in real life.
When the Watergate Grand Jury was going to wrap up, the foreman wanted to know if they could indict the President. ("He was the man giving all the orders!") It had been the considered opinion of the Special Prosecutor's office that they could name Nixon as an unindicted co-conspirator, but could not indict the President. Leon Jaworski and Sam Dash said that the only people whom everyone agreed could "indict" the President was Congress via impeachment, so their work was packed up to be sent to the House Judiciary Committee and, I believe, the Senate Watergate Committee.
Ford's pardon of Nixon was to stem any potential crimes that could have been prosecuted after Nixon's resignation. Because I witnessed the collective sigh of relief from Watergate -- often coupled with outrage -- I expect that there will not be too much stomach to indict Trump on the Federal Level unless there are tax-related charges. On the other hand, if, say, New York State has been regularly screwed by Trump on taxes and can prove that Trump's handing of properties on the federal level are different from his tax filings on the state level, then we should expect the state to try and recover the lost money.
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On 5/28/2019 at 9:22 AM, LGR4GM said:
What? I am lost. I get where your going with the far right media stuff but got lost at the end. Is that what they will say of people who don't agree with them?
You mean, if you don't agree with them, it is because you hate America? Oh, yeah. That is open-and-shut.
On 5/29/2019 at 8:22 AM, LGR4GM said:Because McConnell is a giant hypocrite with no moral compass. The best thing that can happen in this country is that he can leave office. He's an old white guy completely out of touch with what people want and only in touch with what gets him more money or power.
Agreed. There are many for whom the partisan battle has eviscerated their moral compasses. The idea of putting aside partisan gains for the good of the country seems to be lost with the exception of people like Justin Amash.
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On 5/26/2019 at 8:00 PM, millbank said:
What you say may be true. But overall am thankful for the many nice people met along the way. And thedream still lives
Mill, I might actually be worse than you.
One of my parents' first friends after they were married were a football coach (a former original Cleveland Brown) and his wife. After my parents met them, the man went to work with an old friend whom he knew from his college days in Cleveland, Ohio. He was the defencive line coach of the No-Name Defence. From 1971-83, he used to let me sit in on the defencive game plan review at the team hotel the day before the game.
Interesting tidbit: It did not matter that the Bills were 4-9-1 during Miami's Perfect Season. I have a clip of the former coaching staff being interviewed on a Miami TV station from the 20th anniversary year. To a man, they say that the only game that they realistically should have lost was to the Bills on 22 October 1972 at the Orange Bowl. Apparently, Saban's game plans had them befuddled the entire game. They uniformly believed that had the Bills started Dennis Shaw instead of Mike Taliaferro, the Dolphins that season go 16-1.
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On 5/24/2019 at 11:24 AM, Eleven said:
I don't think any of them are capable of winning, and some of them (definitely Buttigieg and possibly Castro) are as unqualified as the current occupant. Mayor of South Bend directly to President? I don't think so.
That may be.
What I am doing is warning you off of the Bernie wing of the Party. I won't vote for Trump, but a vast majority of Conservative Trump Haters I know in swing states will NOT vote for a Democrat whom the Socialist Wing can stomach. Assuming the economy goes bad, then there is a chance of beating Trump if you go the HARD right of your caucus. If both don't happen, then Trump wins in a landslide.
Then we might have a chance of picking up enough votes in FL and OH to make them competitive and to give we Trump-haters a chance in MN, WI, MI, PA, VA, CO, NV, and NM. Yes, I am saying that FL and OH are purplish-bright-red, WI, MI, and PA are bright-reddish-purple, and that MN, VA, and CO are neutral purple. The four best polling aggregators I know (realclearpolitics.com, fivethirtyeight.com, theatlantic.com, politico.com) all agree that Trump lost a lot of support in states he is going to win handily anyway, but he is over-performing, level, or has a certainty of exceeding his poll numbers in states with a large number of Cultural Conservatives.
Democrats need to ignore the coasts and focus 100% on competitive states in Middle America if we want to have a prayer of defeating Trump. Nominating, adopting the platform of, and campaigning for someone like John Kasich, Colin Powell, Condi Rice, Bill Weld, Susan Martinez, Larry Hogan, and the like would be ideal, but even if you don't, we need them on our side regardless.
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Just so that everyone understands why some potentially reasonable arguments might fail. Let me whittle this down to the most common arguments with the broadest appeal across the country. Where possible, I will use direct quotes that were delivered in serious political debates in conversational tones. Believe it or not, in many political circles, this is not considered inflammatory, illogical, or anything else negative that you might say about it. My primary sources are national mailings.
Those of you who follow pseudo-conservative media will understand the reasoning below.
Merrick Garland is 100% irrelevant. Did he overturn the Voting Rights Act, the Civil Rights Act, and Roe vs. Wade in the mid 1980's as Bork would have done? Did he stop a Commie Kenyan from getting elected? Did he un-genocide all the babies from 1972 onward? Is Vince Foster still alive?
If he did not do all of these, then what happened to him does not matter. You obviously do not understand because you hate America.
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5 minutes ago, Claude Balls said:
Yeah I know, I was just relating to how so many people say Kraft pays off the officials in the NFL.
On a side note, the post season in the NHL is a totally different animal than the regular season. Watching these teams pound on each other makes me think, the Sabres as they are now, would get absolutely trucked in the playoffs. I hope Botts and Ralphie are paying close attention.
Maybe. Kind of like Finland at the IIHF WHC, selfless ensemble play makes a whole team better than the sum of its parts and players find something in themselves that no one else knew. Some nameless D becomes Brian Campbell. A career 4th liner turns into Mike Peca. The HOF playmaker becomes a ferocious checker because he's covering defencively for Gretzky and Lafleur. Among others, I think Okposo-Larsson-Girgensons would thrive in an extended playoff run.
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I could trade a 2nd or two to get that 3rd back if it allowed me to hit Point and similar players.
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With all the cap crap we have plus the complete line-up disasters of the last 2 years, I think that JBots must be very tough about taking them on. After the favour he did StL last year, one more trade that even gives me an impure thought should cost him his job. If he can screw his coach by only giving him 75% of an NHL quality team, the fans by not making moves to keep the team in the playoff hunt, the players by telling them that their winning was a mirage, and the owner by bungling the O'Reilly trade, then he can screw everyone else with the same alacrity. Callahan should require 2 firsts and top 2 prospects for Tage Thompson, which is equivalent to Point's offer sheet. Zaitsev should require Andersen and Kapanen for Nylander, which keep their Nylander happy and keeps Marner. Yes, those are stupid. None require Okposo or a signed and extended Sobotka going the other way.
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9 minutes ago, Doohickie said:
To carry your metaphor to its conclusion, the team was stale, then rotten, but now it's been composting and ready to bloom.
(?)
We hope.
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Hi, there.
I didn't mean to side-track us a bit by commenting about being a Sikh. It is just my perspective: things that could actually cost me my life cause me less consternation than the ROR trade seems to for some people. I have a much lower tolerance for that kind of talk than most.
Aside: hallucinogens, smoking, etc. are strictly forbidden to Sikhs. Also, I am a traditional Sikh, not one of the Sikh Dharma (Yogi Bhajan's group).
5 hours ago, SHAAAUGHT!!! said:I'd say our weakness was the middle six last season, because they had more than enough 4th line roll players on the roster. We needed more from Okposo and Sheary on the second line, and didn't get it. Rodriguez may surprise us next year and push for a 2nd line roll instead of Okposo or Sheary. Kyle seems to have settle on being a 3rd/4th line power forward, and I prefer if we had a roster that allowed him to be in that roll.
I don't like the idea of Casey playing 4th line minutes at all. He needs ice time during games to develop - whether it is in Roch or Buf is up to management and the roster. But I fully agree he played too much of that 2C role this year for the struggles he had. Unfortunately there was no one else on the roster that could step into that role and actually produce on a constant basis.
And regarding the crew you mentioned for 2nd line minutes, we need at least one of those guys to step up or next season will be better, but we will still be a bubble team. I'm expecting Tage and Casey to make some serious gains in the off-season to push for a bigger role. Olofsson still has a ton of potential at 24, but I'm not sure one season in the AHL has acclimated him to a role beyond 3rd line winger and playing the off-wing or point on the PP.
The Sabres do have around $30M in cap space next year thanks to no $7M O'Reilly contract, $3.5M from Berglund, Tage's entry level deal, $5.6 from Pommers, $5M from Moulson, and $3.2 from Johan + Zemgus. Even when they sign their key RFAs (Ullmark at $2.5-3M, McCabe $2.75-4MM, Rodriguez $1.5-2.5), they will still have $20-25 to spend. Skinner gets $7.5-8, Paranin $10.5-11, and you still have some cash to fill in 3-4 more contracts, depending on other roster moves. Right now the Sabres only have 5 contracts signed for the 20-21 season, which gives Jbot a lot of flexibility on term and AAV.
It is nice to read a different perspective. However, I must disagree with you. We needed at least another 4th line. SOBotka, Thompson, Elie, and Mittlestadt had no business being in the NHL this year. Housley hardly maximised the Sabres' productivity by having SOBotka getting the 4th-most ice time until articles from Bill Hoppe et al. pointed out how bad he was. But he had a MAXIMUM of 10 NHL-quality players to choose from for most of the year. Just three guys who wouldn't get caved in every time would have been preferable. And O'Reilly makes that clearly possible.
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I think there is a book about this trade called "Fifty Shades of Grey, Mustard Yellow, and Navy Blue" available at the naughtiest BDSM clubs locally. I imagine it is right next to complaints about Peter McNab, Real Cloutier, Tom Barrasso, Slava Kozlov, and 1 July 2007.
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I have to say what I think of all this wallowing in self-loathing.
Can we set a time-limit on this, please? I get it. I hated the trade at the time. I hate it even more now. I also hate that people think I am going to blow them up when they see me with a beard, moustache, and turban because I am a male Sikh. I hate that security at KBC and RWS told me they put extra people in my section because people ask for their help in killing me.
I complain about that less than people here complain about that trade.
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The problem you have with the NHL and the NBA is that you have to contend with the NFL, which is targetting Presidents' Day weekend eventually for the Super Bowl because Baseball keeps running later and later -- and they are targetting Veterans' Day weekend for the end of the World Series. They probably figure the best idea is to run hockey and hoops playoffs during baseball's "Dog Days" until NFL training camps in June/July.
The 2019 Stanley Cup Final. St Louis vs Boston
in The Aud Club
Posted
You don't have to tell us - we're all Sabres fans here. ?