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elijah

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Posts posted by elijah

  1. 23 minutes ago, Sabres Fan in NS said:

     

    I think Cozens will sign a very similar contract to this one.  Maybe as high as 7 and $35M, but more likely 7 at $4.75M AAV. 

    Also what I went straight to thinking, but with different numbers. With Cozens I feel there’s too much potential there for his agent to allow him to sign $4.75Mx7yr without getting blasted to the moon. 

    Good (hopefully?) for GMKA and the Sabres if that’s what the deal were to come in at, but we’re still talking about a player that many people think is capable of being 2C or even better on the wing? 
     

    Now I’m not too well versed on hockey money yet, but wouldn’t that be a historical type of steal if he reached 2C level? My initial thought was it’d be something like 7yr/$40M if GMKA got it done early in similar fashion to these two, but I don’t actually know anything so maybe I’m way off

    • Like (+1) 3
  2. 16 minutes ago, DarthEbriate said:

    *FWIW, the equivalent Skinner package today would be: Sardarian (2021 3rd, our 2020 3rd was traded for Skinner), 2023 2nd (PHI, BUF, VGK to choose from), 2024 3rd, and 2024 6th.

    If this is the price you don’t say no imo

  3. What are we thinking the price is for Kane?

    I was under the impression of 2 B-level prospects and a 2nd or 3rd for him but then I’m also seeing suggestions like Oloffson, a 1st AND Peterka? Absolutely not, at that price I’m out. 

    But if you can send Portillo, Ryan Johnson and a 2nd? Why would there be any reason to say no to that? 

    I don’t see how the price can get very high for a 1 year rental, with a NTC, at 33-34 years old, and a team that is clearly tanking and should be desperate to move him for anything they can get

  4. 8 minutes ago, LGR4GM said:

    Because those players don't want to come here. 

    You’ve got $35M-$40M in cap space, I’m sure overbidding the market by $2M would sway a player or two this way. 

    Again I understand we want the cap flexibility for when the core contracts and ELC’s expire in 2-3 years, but with the sheer amount of money there is to be thrown around I don’t understand the opposition to essentially ‘buying’ a year or two from contributing players by overpaying

     

     

    EDIT: This is of course all preliminary talk seeing as there’s still a long offseason for more cap dumps with good returns, along with the possibility the return on this is better than expecting. As well as possibly actually adding players at those positions of need and/or the short term moves I’m talking of, but the point is that this solo move doesn’t instill any confidence in me that any of the above is going to happen

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 1 year remaining on the contract and still eligible for LTIR if I’m reading correctly

    Sounds like we won’t be getting much more than maybe a 6th round pick with him if that 🤦‍♂️ 

    I hate it here

    I understand the ‘maintaining flexibility’ mantra, but why can’t we just sign short term high money FA’s that contribute and actually improve a desolate team? Short term maintains flexibility no? 

    Or why not take on more serious cap dumps where the extra assets are atleast a 3rd round pick? 

    Personally I’ve been very pleased with GMKA this far, but if we play a second season in a row at the cap floor without utilizing the cap, whether through cap dumps or short term FA, I’m going to be very soured on him. Hell, even if we’re a 50 win, 110 point team next year, there’s still no excuse for leaving $20M of cap on the table without adding any assets wth it. 

    • Like (+1) 3
  6. 1 minute ago, PerreaultForever said:

    I hear you, but in a big way I do in fact want to rely on the probablys and I expects. 

    I think we have to have faith in these kids and at this stage I think team chemistry and continuing to build that young core together is more important than rushing the plan. 

     

    I just don’t view it as rushing the plan if you’re adding a short term guy with your extra cap space. Rushing the plan to me would be adding someone on a long term big money deal, or packaging assets in a trade for an upgrade. Maybe that’s the difference in opinion? 

    Short term cap space is expendable. Have a thorough vetting process and you’re bound to find at least one guy that you can overpay for a year or two to not only produce, but also be a mentor. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  7. 10 hours ago, PickaPecaPickles said:

    Seems reasonably doable with the projected group?

    Skinner Tnt Tuch = 95-100  

    VO Mitts Quinn    =  60-70

    Z Asplund KO      =  40

    Krebs Cozens JJP = 45

    D                            = 20-25

    Total                      = 260-280 or 3.17 - 3.41 ppg

    30 / 30 / 20 = 80

    25 / 10-15 / 20 = 55-60

    10 / 10 / 15 = 35

    10 / 15-20 / 15 = 40-45

    20-30

    250 - 3.04 gpg 

     

    If everyone doesn’t progress as we’d hope, if Skinner/Thompson have a down year, if Quinn/JJP don’t have the immediate impact expected, if Cozens doesn’t contribute more all of these totals could be even less than this.

    You’re looking at 3.04 goals per game, which is still a below average offense, while also not having an answer for the goalie tandem yet. You’ve got to add another producer (or two) for a worst case scenario. You can’t just expect that everyone performs as you’d hope. 

    Granted, if everyone develops the way they’re expected then it will probably be more goals than this, and ideally much more. But why risk ‘as expected’ when you have the cap to have a backup plan for when one or two guys have a down year or don’t progress right? 

  8. 18 hours ago, PerreaultForever said:

    See, to the stay on topic point, I don't think the offense will need enhancing next year. I expect Krebs and Cozens will be more productive, as will Power, probably Mitts. Add Quinn. It's the defensive side of the game that needs enhancing (including goaltending). 

    But do we really want to rely on ‘I expect’s and ‘probably’s? 

    If your goal is to be a competitive team and see an overall shift in the organization to one that understands what it needs to do to compete, I certainly don’t want to rely on that. Add another forward (or two) on short term deals and either a) let the rest figure who’s the odd man out and recoup some assets for them, or b) let everyone else progress and the short term guy gets shown the door at the deadline or in the offseason

    All of the people just expecting the natural progression and development to happen reek of complacency, I want my team to be competitive without having to hope that the kids either sustain their development or in some cases develop further. Not everyone is going to hit in the development that’s expected, we’re fans of a team that hasn’t made the playoffs in a decade and has a recent history of disastrous drafting and development, we of all people should realize this.

    If we had this current squad and were tight to the cap? Then yeah, maybe hoping for development would be the way to go. But we’re simply not that team, we have the extra assets and the extra cap space. Use it. 

  9. 26 minutes ago, kas23 said:

    Neither has played any substantial time in the NHL, so they shouldn’t? I see that you are lumping Quinn in with JJP. That’s ok. But, everything Quinn has done this year says he deserves a spot in the NHL. He’s playing at 1.4 ppg. What exactly do you expect from him? Now, JJP is slightly below 1 ppg. I wouldn’t expect a spot to be handed to him, but he should be given every opportunity to win one come camp next year. 

    I don’t mean to be lumping Quinn with JJP, he’s clearly at a higher level. And yes, both have seemingly earned roster spots with this seasons performance.

    But either way, why not bolster the talent in the forward group on short term deals with the extra cap space that is there just to add competition and talent? Even if it means a Mitts or an Ollie getting flushed out, there’s no reason not to add more talent. Suppose they don’t fit in the top 9 because we suddenly have too much talent, and we traded them for more assets, is that a bad thing?

    I’m not suggesting to add a Gaudreau at 7x$9.5M. I’m simply saying to add a 40-50 point forward or two to that middle 6 on short term 1 or 2 year deals with maybe $4.5M-$6.5M AAV. A team that hasn’t made the playoffs in 11 years shouldn’t exactly be afraid of a log jam of talent. You’re not sacrificing the future by adding short term deals when you have an abundance of cap space, you’re just adding short term talent to try and make the team better. 

    • Like (+1) 2
  10. 4 hours ago, GASabresIUFAN said:

    @elijah  I’d say the biggest obstacle to KA going out and bring big $ UFAs in is that that’s not his stated plan.  I also believe there may be budget constraints on the actual $ he can spend on the roster.  

    That isn’t to say he won’t spend some money this summer.  He only has 42 million currently committed to 15 players next season without Quinn, VO and JJP.  That’s plenty of money to spend $ on goaltending, veteran D help and another forward or two.  

    As to Quinn and JJP, Quinn is certainly making this team next fall. He’d be in the NHL right now if it wasn’t to the Sabres advantage to let his contract slide again.  JJP could return to Rochester, but 19 year olds who score a pt/g in the A rarely return the following season.

    Do constraints actually exist though? As a Bills fan first, I feel like I’ve heard that story too many times and then suddenly when you’re good and you get a competent GM those ‘restraints’ are no longer spoken of. Not too mention at the deadline he said there were no restraints and he could use the cap space freely. Granted it didn’t turn into anything, but I’m going to choose to take his statements as truthful. 

    Also, maybe I haven’t listened to enough of his interviews but regardless of his stated plan, shouldn’t the plan at the end of the day be to win? They have LOADS of cap space and it just doesn’t make sense to not use it. Does Peterka look great? Absolutely. Does that mean he should have a penciled in roster spot? Absolutely not. 

    I don’t see any issue with bringing in a middle 6 40-50 point guy on short term, 1-2 years, and an inflated contract with the extra cap space we have to build competition and talent. If we want to see Peterka so bad, and we think Peterka is so good, then he should reasonably earn a spot on his own without being penciled in, no? 

    So he earns a spot and gives us another forward as an expendable asset to trade for more roster improvement, what’s the problem with that? 

    • Like (+1) 2
  11. Started this thread right after I posted a little rant in the other offseason thread, figured this one would be better to relocate that post to.. 

     

     

    I don’t understand the hesitancy to add a forward because the Sabres ‘already have their core.’ That’s utterly ridiculous in my eyes, why is a team with an 11 season playoff drought granting roster spots to guys that’ve played less than 3 games in the NHL? 

    JJP has looked fantastic, Quinn has looked even better but neither has played any substantial time in the NHL yet and yet I keep seeing fans/media alike wanting to stay away from a forward in free agency. 

    Say you resign Olofsson, UPL, Anderson, Bryson and Hinostroza, you should still be roughly around $25M-$30M in cap space with a lineup of

    Skinner - Thompson - Tuch

    Krebs - Cozens - Quinn

    Olofsson - Mitts - JJP

    Girgensons - Asplund - Okposo

    Bjork, Hinostroza

     

    Dahlin - Jokiharju

    Power - ?

    Samuelsson - Bryson

    Fitzgerald 

     

    Lukkonen

    Anderson

     

    From there you can still add a 1A/B goalie for what, $5M-$8M AAV? (Husso, Keumper, Campbell). Add that other top 4 RHD for $4M-$8M AAV? (Letang, Manson, Gudbranson). 

    Say you’re adding two guys at $8M AAV at those two spots on the high end, and you STILL have $10M-$15M in cap space. 

    Why are we so against adding a Reilly Smith or an Ondrej Palat on low term with that extra money? Force JJP and Hinostroza to your 13th & 14th forwards spots instead of just handing it to them. 

    There’s loads of cap space AND depth on the team for the first time in forever. Even the 13th and 14th forwards this year played 44 and 36 games respectively — granted there was a lot of turnover and injury this year. But still, what’s wrong with JJP playing ~40 games while growing into a role and comfort, rather than forcing him onto the team just because we have a perceived core.

    What’s best case scenario? JJP shines and we have more depth and talent and have to force someone out for more assets, or a package out to bring back some star power to tag along with the depth? 

    Worst case scenario? Skinner, Olofsson & Thompson could all realistically regress scoring and Quinn & JJP may not translate immediately, Cozens, Mitts & Krebs could have a stagnant develop year and not keep progressing forwards. It’s easy to sit here now riding a hot streak and say the forward core is set, but imagine the outlash if the kids don’t develop at the same pace right now and we’re sitting here at game 80 with 70 points next year. 

    Why not use this extra cap to bring someone in on short term and create more competition and depth. Just doesn’t make sense to me the willingness to sit still with the talent we have now rather than building more with the cap space we have. You don’t have to ‘build’ the team through FA, you can sign players on short term. If they don’t want to come to Buffalo without long term, the caps still there to utilize and overpay for a year or two with out effecting long term plans 🤷‍♂️ 

    • Like (+1) 7
  12. 2 hours ago, GASabresIUFAN said:

    Lol.  
     

    The return on Jack trade is looking pretty good as well. I love the joy Krebs plays with.  He’ll never forget scoring the first goal tonight.  

    Watching the game in person, this was one of my biggest takeaways from the night. Nothing too hockey related, no spectacular input on anything — but about halfway through the second I turned to my girlfriend and pointed out that every second Krebs is on the ice, no matter what’s happening, the kid is playing and skating with a smile on his face 

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