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JohninMinn.

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  1. 3 hours ago, mjd1001 said:

    He has a wrist injury. Sometimes that injury can heal enough that you can play, but it can impact production big time from scorers.

    Who else had a wrist injury that he played through? Look 1.5 hours north to Austin Matthews.

     

    2 seasons before his wrist injury: 41 goals in 52 games (65 goal pace per 82)

    1 season before his wrist injury:  60 goals in 73 games (67 goal per 82 pace).

    Year he played through the wrist injury: 40 goals in 74 games (44 goal per 82 pace)

    Year after his wrist injury: 53 goals in 58 games (75 goal pace)

    So, a guy who is a big time scorer averaged 66 goals per 82 games without a wrist injury....the season he plays through a wrist injury his goal production drops 33% the season he has the injury....then when he gets a full year off his production goes back up to (and beyond) what it was before the injury.

     

    Now Tage...

    2 seasons before his wrist injury: 38 goals in 78 games (40 goal pace)

    1 season before his wrist injury: 47 goals in 78 games (almost a 50 goal pace)

    year of his wrist injury (this year) 18 goals in 50 games (30 goal pace)

    With Tage, a guy who is a big time scorer averaged 45 goals per 82 games without a wrist injury...the season he plays through it his goal production drops 33% the season he has the injury...With a full season off to heal his wrist, AND in his prime at 27 years of age, is there a chance he exceeds is prior production? Maybe.

     

    The naysayers will say no...but I like to bring this up as a possible positive.  Tage isn't Matthews, but the similarities in their injury, in how it impacts production at the same time and the same point...very similar.   Something to think about.

     

    I looked into one other things....Matthews shooting percentage those 2 seasons before his wrist injury was 17.7. It went down to 12.2 the year of his injury (5.5 points lower).  He took about the same number of shots per game (4.4 vs 4.6), just his percentage was down.

    Tage's shooting percentage the 2 years before his wrist injury this year was 15.5. It is down to 10.0 this year....(5.5 points lower). He has taken about the same number of shots per game (3.5 vs 3.6) but his percentage is just down.

     

    He doesn't skate, avoids contact and coughs up the puck quite a bit. Shooting is not everything.

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