Mig22
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Posts posted by Mig22
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So you think if we had Babcock, we'd be a playoff team right now?
No, if we had Babcock, they would be bitching about him instead.
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Bogosian was good last night with several quality plays and he has been good again. Will never be a good passer but he has snuffed out opportunities in the last two games and been a good physical presence.
and yes, Sam can really pass.
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C+. Barring Jack's injury, the team has improved over last year. Bylsma has gotten improvement out of Gionta, Moulson, and especially Foligno. He has only 'lost' Girgenson and Ennis (subject to revision once healthy). The defense is not very talented but the system manages to keep our GA down to manageable levels and while not attractive, it has prospects for success. I think this team is only moderately talented. It all comes down to the second half.
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I missed last night's game,... 'sprobably why I'm not ready to bleed out like everyone else here.
I'm excited. Friday night, three day weekend, we get to see how the young'ns rebound.
I like hockey. It's fun.
... I also like manhattans. Think I'll have one during the game.
You see, this is the right attitude. Expect success, drink, and enjoy. I'm trying to embrace my happy-drunk self. I had coffee out of the red Buffalo mug yesterday but today, it's the blue one (knowing I couldn't use red on a day we play the drizzles).
Cheers.
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With the way Kane has been playing lately, I'm shocked "trade" is doing so well. I thought for sure I'd be a man on an island!
People get dug in to their opinions and the evidence be damned.
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Plus/minus might not be a popular stat, but it is a good team-wide indicator. We're -17 at the moment in overall goal differential (which... forgive me, I don't know... but I think that includes the shootout-winning goals, which puts us at quite the deficit).
It includes the shootout so our actual +/- is -13 (we are 1-5 in shootouts). Getting there.
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Also 4/10 thru 10/5.
Ok, that was funny.
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Yup. When we reel off an 8-2 stretch, then I'll watch the games for more than just Jack
6-3-1 for each 10 game block for the rest of the season puts us right on the edge of the playoff line.
This is a rough look at the numbers but currently it looks to be 95 or 96 although the 3-point games are trending higher than last year (by 44 games total from last year) and may fall back which could lower the points to 93-94 for 3rd place in Atlantic or 2nd wild card. However, 2014-5 there were 309 3-point games and the cutoff was 98 in the east but that included historically bad Sabres inflating everybody else's points. There are sites that do a much more thorough job of this kind of prediction but I'm looking at 96 pts as a target.
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Ben Bishop vs. Sabres. 9-0-1. 0.940 save %. As per Harrington. "yeesh"
Let's hope he's rusty.
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Bishop getting the start tonight.
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Teams regularly gave us the backup because we were the easy win for the last few years ( well o.k. forever ). Hopefully it'll get to the point where we only ever face first stringers
Must win !
For a while this season, we had a comfortably better record versus starters than vs backups. I can't find the numbers at the moment though.
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Check out Miles Wood from New Jersey. He's unbelievably fast too.
He was interviewed between periods in their game the other night vs Edmonton and asked 'who's faster, you or McDavid?" He said he didn't know because they weren't paired up on the ice at all.
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. it's not like we shoot 45 mile an hour pucks directly into his glove from the blue line for 60 minutes.
Have you seen us play? Sometimes the 45 MPH stomach shot is exactly what we do. :( Let's hope that our recent games are more indicative of the shot difficulties!
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And how many of Carrier's first games don't count?
I mean... in the beginning he was just picking up odd minutes here and there, wasn't he? And even if he were getting prime top six minutes, you could argue that it takes.... probably about 10 games....(?).... to adjust to the speed of the NHL.
Fair point also. I just don't see the guy even getting close to points most nights no matter how hard he appears to play. Frankly, he looks like Bailey to me: a prospect maybe, an AHL player, or a fill in (which I guess he is at this point). But as I said, we'll see. I hope I'm wrong.
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No such thing as a stupid question, you know? I tried to google it but urban dictionary is blocked at work, it seems.
Oh I just wanted to get a subtweet in. I didn't think it was a stupid question at all.
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Some people gotta get with the new times. #oldpeople
(subtweet)
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Not horrible, but not exactly (he should have 10 goals!) territory either, and most of those good minutes have come recently.
I guess I don't see why you're so fixated on the counting stats on a rookie who is getting limited minutes and no power play time on a bottom-5 even strength scoring team. Given the circumstances, I'm not sure how much more you expect out of him.
Edit: To satisfy my own curiosity, I looked at Reinhart's first 26 NHL games. 7 points while getting ~14 minutes per game. Patience! :)
Fair enough. Although Reinhart's first 9 don't count and you know it. ;)
Hey, we'll see. To my eye he makes a lot of decision-making mistakes but I sincerely hope I'm wrong and he ends up being a productive team member. It was a damn nice finish last night.
Cheers.
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Are these moments, more often than not, distinguished by when he has the puck versus when he does not?
Maybe somewhat. But he makes a fair number of boneheaded plays with the puck if the right play is not obvious. Youth.
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1) "Shot analytics" is offensive contribution.
2) You give him more than 26 games.
Shot Analytics is a proxy for offensive contribution. Goals and assists, while subject to variation in shot % and save %, are offensive production. I'm a big fan of analytics (it's my job) but it only captures a certain amount of the variation in production from player to player.
You can give him more than 26 games if there is no better option (or you want to spread production out amongst three lines) but it comes at a cost. And how many games is enough? 30? 50?
The alternative, without demolishing lines and pairings that are working nicely, is probably Moulson, right? He provides no scoring OR possession at ES.
Going forward, Ennis I suppose. I hear your point that it's a matter of 'who else' but that does not mean that Carrier has any intrinsic value at this point...he's just the same as every other available winger (without trashing Jack's world)
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What if we leave Carrier-ROR-KO, who in a limited amount of time posted a CF% well over 60%, and put Ennis in Deslauriers' spot when he's back, to make the fourth line our top line from the tank teams? Give them nice and cushy minutes, and get some depth scoring?
Carrier has 4 points in 26 games with plenty of minutes with good linemates. I don't care how well the shot analytics look, he simply doesn't contribute offensively. Can be a good player but how long can you support a guy being there without the production? I just don't think it's good enough.
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I think I like Gionta with Jack. The captain is a guy who knows how goals are created and if his offensive skills are not what they were, his hockey sense in the offensive zone is as finely tuned as ever.
That said, some line stability would be nice. We have scored 11 goals in the last 3 games.
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It's certainly time to get Philly. Once again their goaltending has come back to earth; Mason has been a mess and his Save % has fallen to 0.903. And all of sudden, the Metro Division might not have both wild cards locked up.
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Just came through via Bleacher Report that they ARE moving Sam to Jack's line. I admit to being confused. It WILL be a good line though.
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Dear coach Bylsma,
I am one of your biggest backers around here, but surely you must realise how well Samson has been playing at centre and Zemgus on the wing.
What gives?
Sincerely,
NS
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I tend to agree with this, but man I hope we are right.
Yes, same. I would be unhappy with Reinhart going back to wing right now.
. If he underachieved afterwards by putting up 4 consecutive 20 goal seasons, 3 of which came after Briere and Drury left town, that's alright by this guy.
and this guy. Not an all-star but a contributor to be sure.
GDT: Buffalo at Toronto 7:30p ET 1/17/17
in The Aud Club
Posted
The numbers just don't bear out that Bylsma is a bad coach. We can say it all we want, and we all can debate the validity of this system or that one, but to say he is bottom 10 is just an arbitrary statement. It's an opinion. And I am VERY confident, that this board, like every internet sports board out there, would spend buckets full of digital ink slamming whoever was coaching if there wasn't a Cup in the cabinet in the first two years AND that it was accomplished with the right style AND that it was set up to be a dynasty. That's just what internet sports boards are for.
(also, there are tons of people like me who say just what I am saying and THOSE people are really just as full of sh** as the others. So you don't think I'm not self-aware)