[2018-19 By the Numbers]

Fair point on sv%, who are you putting in goal?  I am not sold on Ullmark after the playoff fiasco this year. I am definitely not a Lehner fan.  I might try to explore what it would take to pry Grubauer out of Washington. 

Looking at sv% out of 95 goalies who played goal this year.  Includes 1 game wonders.

 

Ullmark - AHL 2017-18: .922 (would have been #31 this year in NHL)

               NHL (career -26 games, 3 yrs): 9.17 (would have been #31 this year.)

               NHL 2017-18: .935 (7th this year - only 5 games)

               2017-18 Calder Cup Playoffs: .800 (3 games).

 

 

Lehner - NHL 2017-18: .908 (#55 this year)

               Career NHL: .915 (would have been #34 this year)

 

Grubauer - NHL 2017-18: .923 (#21 this year)

               Career NHL: .923 (#21 this year) (101 games over 6 seasons)

 

Bernier - NHL 2017-18: .913 (#38 this year)

               Career NHL: .914 (#37 this year)

[2018-19 By the Numbers]

The idea of the thread is to use numbers to support the line-up. You can propose fills for the empty spots or replace my choices. For instance filling in the D with players that can move the needle from 18 to 30 or finding a line mate for Mitts. Use possession stats, plus minus, shooting percentage, etc. For goalie using scoring chances they see vs what they’ll see as a Sabre and adjusting their save pct accordingly. Use current players, prospects or reasonably acquired players.

[2018-19 By the Numbers]

Getting from last to respectable is not easy or likely, however here is what it will take based on 2017-18 numbers.

 

2017-18 Numbers

Average Goals For by Playoff teams: 256

Average Goals Against by Playoff teams: 225

Sabres Goals For: 198 (over 47% by 4 players- one traded)

Sabres Goals Against: 278

Sabres Fwds scored: 180

Sabres Defense scored: 18

 

Playoff Teams Goals Against Average: 2.74.

 

I noticed lately the GM spot for the Sabres is seasonal, so here is my shot at the title...

(not sure format would stay so I attached a jpg).

 

Core Players in Bold/Italics. Average Goals per line assuming 30 by the D.

Target average per line and player/slot is shown.

 

Earning or keeping a spot would be dependent on likelyhood of hitting the target.

 

Goalie has to be <2.74 GA/G.  Team below 225 GA for the season.

 

 

Left Wing    Center       Right Wing          Avg       

 

E-Rod         Eichel            ------                29       28/40/19 

------            Mitts              Okposo         17       14/17/20             

------            ROR              Reinhart        21      15/21/27

------            ------               -------                9         8/13/6

 

LHD                                 RHD                 30

Scandella                        Risto

Dahlin                             ------

Guhle                               -----                Total      GA/G

                       -------                                       <225      <2.74

 

Granted there are no numbers supporting E-Rod's or Mitt's targets.  It is pure speculation.  That's what GM's get fired for paid for doing.

[2016 WJC -- Helsinki Finland]

Please send me the link for the Game.  Thank you.