Wraith
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Posts posted by Wraith
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Wonder if we will see Risto get some flu like conditions on Wednesday evening, Thursday morning...and i am not being facetious.
I can't believe Hackett is "sore" after the game and is sitting...dude you want to be an NHL goalie, your getting your shot...and you are too sore to play even with a days rest? I mean, this is not a back to back.
The guy is less than a year out from major knee reconstruction.
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I actually think the most important part of that quote is "same way." Especially once SportsVU is widely adopted and the data available, everybody is going to be looking at the same thing. But in no way, shape, or form, does that mean they'll be looking at it the same way--and in my not so humble opinion, what you do with the data is infinitely more important than the equivalence of availability.
This is a good time to point out that when "everyone is looking at it the same way" there is an enormous opportunity for the smart and clever people to gain an advantage. That is the real premise of "Moneyball." "Moneyball" was not about adherence to one particular school of analytical thought. It was about identifying the market inefficiencies and exploiting them. When everyone (the "market") is on the same page about what is valuable and not valuable, it becomes very cost effective to find the hidden value in the "not valuable." Sooner or later, everyone else will recognize that hidden value and the "not valuables" become "valuable." In the process, formerly "valuables" will be "not valuables" and the process will repeat. The system is read and react, and therefore will never reach an equilibrium and will be entertainingly dynamic for those not afraid of change.
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Yep. Let that sink in. Someone held onto Mitchell for too long.
Mitchell is an UFA. Flynn is about to be an RFA. Very big difference when it comes to return.
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Regarding possession, there is room for debate. Reasonable people can debate how to measure possession. Is it best measured by shots directed at the goal? That's not why Corsi came up with it. And it took some dweeb in Edmonton hearing Darcy talking about Corsi's stat to come up with the idea for measuring possession that way. Seems fairly Scotch-taped together. Then, the kicker is that the data is suspect. Everyone knows that. What's the value of the product of a shaky philosophy and bad data?
I'm looking forward to the NHL chip thingie so we can have a precise idea of possession time, so the nerds can go back to heating up Hot Pockets and watching War Games. (Running out of snark.)
Curious that you think the better data from the NHL will remove the need for the stats nerds. The fact that the NHL is even doing this is due to the success of the stats nerds within the NHL and the other professional sports and the result will be even more work for them with a wealth of new information. -
Have any of you folks making the comparison to Jonathan Drouin ever actually looked at Drouin's record? Even after the "extra" year in Juniors, Drouin has played three seasons with a total of 128 games in Juniors. In comparison, Sam Reinhart has already played in 3 full seasons and part of a fourth, for a total of 203 games. Reinhart already has 60% (75 games, a full season's worth!) more games in Juniors than Drouin and if he goes back again this year he will have more than doubled Drouin's experience.I don't care where he was picked in the draft. The kid needs to go back to juniors period. If Drouin can go back as the 3rd overall pick then Samson can go back as the 2nd.
It is a horrible comparison!
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I think the notion that a coach doesn't have to understand analytics at all is a fallacy. Yes, a big part of the current work in most sports is player evaluation and thus handled by the General Manager, not the coach. But an underrated aspect of sports analysis is evaluating tactics.
Since the sports data revolution started with baseball, there is a great example about how analytics have not infiltrated the managers the way they have the front office. This has a profound effect on day-to-day tactics. Managers will, almost every day, refuse to use their best relief pitchers in the highest leverage (most important) game situations because it's not a "save situation." Team's regularly blow leads in the sixth, seventh, or eighth inning with an inferior relief pitcher on the mound while their closer, inarguably the best reliever on the team, watches because it's not a save situation yet. It's infuriating. It's especially infuriating because baseball, with it's rich history and incredibly large sample size, has a system that can tell you, in real time, when the high leverage situations are! Having your best relief pitcher enter the game at the start of the ninth inning with nobody on base is almost never the best use of his skills. But the current generation of managers have grown up being told that is how you use a bullpen and so it remains.
Now to hockey. One tactical situation that is starting to get noticed by the stat heads in the dump-in versus the carry-in entry into the offensive zone. Willfully turning the puck over to the opponent at a very high rate using the dump and chase method is incredibly inefficient compared to the carry-in.This article sums it up nicely:
http://www.si.com/nh...-chase-strategy
Can any of you image a traditionalist like Nolan, who is all about the effort, would ever advocate for a lower rate of dump and chases?
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15 years ago? Thurman Munson doesn't ring a bell to you, does it?I still hate that a few baseball teams suddenly started calling guys their captain. Go back about 15 years and its a term that was never used.
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Drouin is not a good comparison. Even with his "extra" season, he only has 128 games in junior. Reinhart already has 203.Well, I think Drouin was considered at least as good as Reinhart and Tampa sent him down last year. A lot of top-5 guys (in fact I think it's the majority) still go back to juniors for 1 year.
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? He was minus 1 before he scored, what's not being understood?
Not correct. Connolly wasn't on the ice for either Kings goal. The rules comment was referring to the fact that Connolly's goal was on the power play and therefore did not count towards his +/-. The assist was on the power play as well so also doesn't count. The +1 came from the Hecht goal, in which his clean face-off win contributed despite the lack of an assist credit. Connolly had a really nice game tonight and was the first star. It's time to give him some credit. He has been much better the last few weeks.
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That goal only got him to even for the game.
Not familiar with the rules of hockey, eh?
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The shootout is not hockey, it's a skill competition. Pommer does not create offense by carrying the puck into shooting positions, he awaits the one timer. Where are all those effective wrist shots in regulation? One trick pony. As good as he was in shootiouts last year, he hasn't been involved in a shoot out yet this year has he?
I'm not going to dispute that Pominville has been very bad this year. I'm sure the injury is at least part of the problem, but regardless it is an objective fact that he has been bad.
It's stunning to me that Connolly is continuingly ripped as the worst Sabre to ever touch the ice this year when his two line mates have been so bad.
That being said, you have a very selective memory if you can't recall Pominville excellent wrist shot. His only goal of the season came off a laser wrister against New Jersey. He's got a fanstastic release. He just doesn't use it as often as he should.
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17 shots for that line.
I can't remember the last time a line in Buffalo has had over 15.
If I remember correctly, HCP had 16 against Jersey last weekend (7 for Connolly, 6 for Pominville, and 3 for Hecht, I think).
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No, if Ottawa plays the way Atlanta did, the sabres should win. Don't forget what an awful effort that was by Atlanta, especially by their goaltender.
What exactly was wrong with Atlanta's goaltender? Mason made something like 38 saves and was the third star of the game.
🏒 Buffalo @ Columbus, 7 December 2022 7:30 PM ET, TNT TV, WGR Radio
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If your TNT feed on Spectrum is frozen like mine, try the TNT streaming app. That is working for me on my Roku.