JohnC Posted June 28 Report Posted June 28 It appears that even if Jarmo makes some additional moves that he will be counting on all three of these young players to not only be on the roster but also be contributors. If I had to predict, I would say that Kulich will score the most goals. And I would think that Östlund would be the most solid and steadiest of the three. And based on a glimpse of what I say last year from Helenius, he will be the most exciting to watch from the group. 1 Quote
Cheektorado Posted June 28 Report Posted June 28 All three are limited in their play. All three have shown a chance for a bright future. I will not attempt to "guess" how all will play this year. It will be exciting to see how many can attempt a big step forward. Good Luck to all!!! 1 Quote
LGR4GM Posted June 28 Report Posted June 28 Helenius has the most upside. Idk what to expect from Kulich. Östlund will have the best year on the stat sheet. 8 Quote
JohnC Posted June 28 Author Report Posted June 28 5 minutes ago, LGR4GM said: Helenius has the most upside. Idk what to expect from Kulich. Östlund will have the best year on the stat sheet. I agree with you about Helenius having the most upside. What was impressive about this young fellow last year is that played like he belonged with the big boys. I lean towards Kulich being the best goal scorer. Östlund has a mature balanced game. It's going to be interesting to see how quickly they can up their games and which one of them will leap forward next season. 1 Quote
GASabresIUFAN Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 (edited) 17 hours ago, LGR4GM said: Helenius has the most upside. Idk what to expect from Kulich. Östlund will have the best year on the stat sheet. This is fair. It could all depend on where they play and with whom. What we do know with Lindy is that line assignments can change at any time. Injuries will also change things. I believe that Benson played on all four lines last season. Kulich is the wild card. Where will his game be after basically missing a year with injury? One other note. All three guys are waiver exempt. It’s possible if either Helenius or Kulich have a bad camp they could start the year in Rochester. With 10 top 9 forwards currently on the roster - Benson, Doan, Tage, Norris, McLeod, Zucker, Quinn and the 3 kids, we have more players than jobs. We also currently have 14 forwards under contract for next season and a decision on Krebs is pending. If I had to guess at numbers Helenius - 12g 18a Kulich - 18g 15a and will kill penalties Östlund - 18g 28a and get PP time Edited June 29 by GASabresIUFAN 2 Quote
Taro T Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 17 minutes ago, GASabresIUFAN said: This is fair. It could all depend on where they play and with whom. What we do know with Lindy is that line assignments can change at any time. Injuries will also change things. I believe that Benson played on all four lines last season. Kulich is the wild card. Where will his game be after basically missing a year with injury? One other note. All three guys are waiver exempt. It’s possible if either Helenius or Kulich have a bad camp they could start the year in Rochester. With 10 top 9 forwards currently on the roster - Benson, Doan, Tage, Norris, McLeod, Zucker, Quinn and the 3 kids, we have more players than jobs. We also currently have 14 forwards under contract for next season and a decision on Krebs is pending. Personally, wouldn't be shocked if one of the 3 kids starts the year in Ra-cha-cha, gets a call up at the 1st F injury and then never goes back. (The team risks losing Kozak, or if he's re-signed Dunne when (if) the F's ever become fully healthy after day 1.) 1 Quote
Hoss Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 As of this moment, one or two of these three will be getting a chance in the top six. That’s something not a lot of Sabres prospects have gotten a chance to do early on (at least not in a real, filled-out top six). I think odds are somewhat high we see big production early. Not suggesting it’s easy to produce at a young age in the NHL, but these are very talented players being put in a position to succeed under the reigning Jacked Adams (😉) Award winner. Quote
GASabresIUFAN Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 Just now, Taro T said: Personally, wouldn't be shocked if one of the 3 kids starts the year in Ra-cha-cha, gets a call up at the 1st F injury and then never goes back. (The team risks losing Kozak, or if he's re-signed Dunne when (if) the F's ever become fully healthy after day 1.) I agree that one of the kids could go down because we don’t have enough top 9 slots. That assumes everyone comes out of camp healthy. I doubt Dunne returns and I think Danforth is more vulnerable than Kozak. Quote
Taro T Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 3 minutes ago, GASabresIUFAN said: I agree that one of the kids could go down because we don’t have enough top 9 slots. That assumes everyone comes out of camp healthy. I doubt Dunne returns and I think Danforth is more vulnerable than Kozak. Danforth. That's the other one whose name was escaping when writing that post. He'd also be in Kozak's boat as a possible demotion once all the kids are up. Agree that there's a good chance Dunne isn't re-signed; (thus the "if he's re-signed" in the original post 😉 ) but if he is, he's the 1st one going down when they need room on the 23 after the initial waiver send down wave if one of the 3 kids went down initially due to not wanting to lose someone else in the top 9 to start the season. Quote
Carmel Corn Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 IMHO - Helenius will get the most ice time and points. Kulich may bounce between center and wing….assuming he’s 100% to return. Östlund is maybe the best playmaker in the group, BUT…..I wonder about his ability to stay healthy and be in the lineup (I worry that he is prone to injury). Quote
Hoss Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 Reporting like this is so lazy. It makes it sound like those names are out there because of any reason other than teams are asking for them when the Sabres are inquiring about other players. 2 2 Quote
JP51 Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 I feel like Östlund has a few more games in and will probably lead improvement on the stat sheet, I think Helenius is likely to take the biggest leap... Not sure what to think about Kulik and I feel like Mrtka is still a bit away. Quote
#freejame Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 I’m interested to see what Kulich look like when he gets back. I expected him to be a 2C 60pt guy but I’d imagine there’s going to be some sort of road back for him. I think Helenius is going to be very good. 80+pts best forward on the team good. I’m not sure that happens next season, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he plays 2027 at a PPG level. I’m not sure what to make of Östlund because I don’t know how we can fit all of these guys. If there’s someone to package I think it’s him. 1 Quote
JohnC Posted June 29 Author Report Posted June 29 1 hour ago, #freejame said: I’m interested to see what Kulich look like when he gets back. I expected him to be a 2C 60pt guy but I’d imagine there’s going to be some sort of road back for him. I think Helenius is going to be very good. 80+pts best forward on the team good. I’m not sure that happens next season, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he plays 2027 at a PPG level. I’m not sure what to make of Östlund because I don’t know how we can fit all of these guys. If there’s someone to package I think it’s him. Although the center position is their most suitable position, all of them can also be used on the wing, just like Krebs. Quote
K-9 Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 2 hours ago, Hoss said: Reporting like this is so lazy. It makes it sound like those names are out there because of any reason other than teams are asking for them when the Sabres are inquiring about other players. I doubt Konsta’s name is still out there as he has solidified his worth since the deadline. Quote
K-9 Posted June 29 Report Posted June 29 Just now, pi2000 said: these questions are pre-mature As are nearly all questions this early in the offseason. Quote
dudacek Posted June 30 Report Posted June 30 (edited) I’m really getting stuck on the whole “Konsta Helenius is untouchable, Konsta Helenius should not be in our top 6” dichotomy. I understand that no two players have the same development path, but I wanted to get a better understanding of what is reasonable. So I took a look at the development path of a handful of mid-first forwards who became top sixers to see how our guys stack up: D+1 Zach Benson NHL: 71 games, 30 points Jiri Kulich AHL: 62 games, 46 points Konsta Helenius AHL: 65 games, 35 points Jack Quinn AHL: 15 games, 9 points Kyle Connor NCAA: 38 games, 71 points Dylan Larkin NCAA: 35 games, 47 points Trevor Zegras NCAA: 33 games, 36 points Cole Caufield NCAA: 36 games, 36 points Mathew Boldy NCAA: 36 games, 24 points Josh Norris NCAA: 37 games, 23 points Nick Suzuki CHL: 64 games, 100 points Matt Barzal CHL: 58 games, 88 points Robert Thomas CHL: 49 games, 75 points Noah Östlund SWE2: 37 games, 26 points Martin Necas CZE: 24 games, 17 points D+2 Robert Thomas NHL: 76 games, 33 points, Dylan Larkin NHL: 80 games, 45 points Zach Benson NHL: 75 games, 28 points Trevor Zegras NHL 24 games, 13 points Konsta Helenius AHL: 63 games, 62 points Jack Quinn AHL: 45 games, 61 points Martin Necas AHL: 64 games, 52 points Jiri Kulich AHL: 57 games, 45 points Kyle Connor AHL: 52 games, 44 points Noah Östlund SWE: 38 games, 23 points Mathew Boldy NCAA: 22 games, 31 points Cole Caufield NCAA: 31 games, 52 points Josh Norris NCAA: 17 games, 19 points Nick Suzuki CHL: 59 games, 94 points Matt Barzal CHL: 41 games, 79 points D+3 Matt Barzal NHL: 82 games, 85 points Trevor Zegras NHL: 75 games, 61 points Kyle Connor NHL: 76 games, 57 points Zach Benson NHL: 65 games, 43 points Cole Caufield NHL 67 games, 43 points Robert Thomas NHL: 66 games, 42 points Nick Suzuki NHL: 71 games, 41 points Mathew Boldy NHL: 47 games, 39 points Jack Quinn NHL: 75 games, 37 points Martin Necas NHL: 64 games, 36 points Jiri Kulich NHL: 62 games, 24 points Dylan Larkin NHL: 80 games, 32 points Josh Norris AHL: 56 games, 61 points Noah Östlund AHL: 45 games, 36 points Konsta Helenius N/A D+4 Kyle Connor NHL: 82 games, 66 points Trevor Zegras NHL: 81 games, 65 points Mathew Boldy NHL: 81 games, 63 points Dylan Larkin NHL: 82 games, 63 points Matt Barzal NHL: 82 games, 62 points Nick Suzuki NHL: 56 games, 41 points Martin Necas NHL: 53 games, 41 points Cole Caufield NHL 46 games, 36 points Josh Norris NHL: 56 games, 35 points Noah Östlund NHL 60 games, 27 points Jack Quinn NHL 27 games, 19 points Robert Thomas NHL 33 games, 12 points Jiri Kulich NHL: 12 games, 5 points Zach Benson N/A Konsta Helenius N/A D+5 Robert Thomas NHL: 72 games, 77 points Kyle Connor NHL: 71 games, 73 points Dylan Larkin NHL: 76 games, 73 points Cole Caufield NHL: 75 games, 69 points Mathew Boldy NHL: 81 games, 63 points Nick Suzuki NHL: 82 games, 61 points Matt Barzal NHL: 68 games, 60 points Josh Norris NHL: 66 games, 55 points Martin Necas NHL: 78 games, 40 points Jack Quinn NHL: 74 games, 39 points Trevor Zegras NHL: 31 games, 15 points Noah Östlund N/A Jiri Kulich N/A Zach Benson N/A Konsta Helenius N/A Edited June 30 by dudacek 1 2 Quote
dudacek Posted June 30 Report Posted June 30 (edited) The first thing you notice is how unusual the Sabres are, with the only 4 players on the list to spend their D+1 year playing pro hockey. The second thing is Zach Benson is very much on track to be a first-line NHL point producer, right there with Suzuki and Thomas after three seasons And the 3rd thing to stick out for me is that for Noah Östlund to reach the counting stats of this group, he has a lot of ground to make up. Not sure how many guys on Noah's path turn into first-liners eventually anyway, but he's lagging here. The other three Sabres are more interesting. Edited June 30 by dudacek 1 Quote
dudacek Posted June 30 Report Posted June 30 (edited) Quinn was ridiculously far ahead of the curve in his D+2 year, the Amerk season that got me so excited about him. His D+3 was mildly disappointing given the previous year, but certainly in the range of the rest. Then the Achilles and the bottom fell out. You could spot him the D+5 year due to recovery, but that should not have affected him this year. Like Noah, if he's got a shot of joining this group, he'll be an outlier. Necas is the one who gives you faint hope. Edited June 30 by dudacek Quote
dudacek Posted June 30 Report Posted June 30 Kulich's injury is another wrinkle, but statistically Sabrespace might be underselling his potential impact. His first two seasons stand up well to anyone on this list. The third dropped a bit, in that you can kind of expect 40ish points from the comparables and he produced less. But guys who produced like Jiri in his first three years tended to hit 60 in years 4 and/or 5. There's definitely a chance the layoff will hurt him the way it did Quinn. But there always guys like Robert thomas and Dylan Larkin who hit a pothole and came back hard the very next year. Quote
dudacek Posted June 30 Report Posted June 30 The big one, in terms of trade talk at least, is Helenius. It should be noted that he is smack dab between Quinn and Kulich in terms of D+2 production, so that is one way to temper expectations. Another is to look at all the guys with 40-ish points as NHL rookies in their D+3 seasons and predict that as a likely ballpark for him. In terms of whether or not he is a Nick Suzuki in waiting, he tracks very much with Suzuki's pace, probably ahead at this point in their careers. The thing is, Suzuki has gotten better every single season of his career. Very few others here are able to say the same. The only reasons I see not to make Helenius available in the right trade are hope and fear. Quote
Porous Five Hole Posted June 30 Report Posted June 30 (edited) 50 minutes ago, dudacek said: The big one, in terms of trade talk at least, is Helenius. It should be noted that he is smack dab between Quinn and Kulich in terms of D+2 production, so that is one way to temper expectations. Another is to look at all the guys with 40-ish points as NHL rookies in their D+3 seasons and predict that as a likely ballpark for him. In terms of whether or not he is a Nick Suzuki in waiting, he tracks very much with Suzuki's pace, probably ahead at this point in their careers. The thing is, Suzuki has gotten better every single season of his career. Very few others here are able to say the same. The only reasons I see not to make Helenius available in the right trade are hope and fear. As a ROC lifer, what sticks with me with all these guys is their AHL playoff performance (and all of these Sabres mentioned had plenty of AHL playoff games). I’m not going by stats, but the games I watched. The best trait I saw was Kulich on the PP. The best guy on the ice over and over again was Konsta. Quinn & Peterka didn’t stand out to my memory all these years later. Krebs one playoff run was not good. The games got harder and Konsta rose to the occasion with physicality and driving play. Sure a small sample size, but it was similar to how he rose to the occasion in 2026. I’m not moving him. He’s important to the future. Edited June 30 by Porous Five Hole 5 1 Quote
LGR4GM Posted June 30 Report Posted June 30 11 hours ago, dudacek said: I’m really get stuck on the whole “Konsta Helenius is untouchable, Konsta Helenius should not be in our top 6” dichotomy. I understand that no two players have the same development path, but I wanted to get a better understanding of what is reasonable. So I took a look at the development path of a handful of mid-first forwards who became top sixers to see how our guys stack up: D+2 Konsta Helenius AHL: 63 games, 62 points Jack Quinn AHL: 45 games, 61 points Martin Necas AHL: 64 games, 52 points Jiri Kulich AHL: 57 games, 45 points I just wanted to talk about this for a moment. Jack Quinn had 1.356ppg Konsta Helenius had 0.984ppg Jiri Kulich had 0.789ppg Martin Necas had 0.8125ppg Now that we are comparing equivalent numbers, we need to talk about 1 more thing. You are right, this was their D+2 year but when you are this young age really matters. Jack Quinn was almost elligible to be drafted 1 year earlier. He has a sept 19 birthday meaning that year you are looking at is his full 20yr old season. Necas turned 20 in the middle of his season with a Jan 15 birthday, making him 4 months younger than Quinn. Kulich comes next with an April 14th Birthday making him 7 months younger and really we are looking at his 19yr old season, not 20. Which brings me all the way to Helenius. Born on May 11th, Helenius played that season as a 19yr old and was 8 months younger than Jack Quinn. On top of that Quinn grew up playing NA hockey whereas none Helenius (and the other 2) did not. This is not to crap on Jack Quinn who I think is probably a solid 2nd winger with mediocre defense but 60pt offense in a full season. I just wanted to categorize Helenius and his 0.984ppg to Quinn's 1.356ppg. That 0.372ppg does matter but when I look at their ages, I wonder if Helenius should be more favorably compared to Quinn's D+2 this upcoming year. This is a long way of saying I think what Helenius did last year in the AHL is probably as impressive or just a tad more so than what Quinn did. I say this due to age and Helenius playing center. I also think that due to it being only Helenius' 2nd NA season, although that should be tempered as it was his 4th pro season compared to Quinn's 2nd. This has really been a thought exercise on how to think about and compare guys. I think Helenius has higher upside than Quinn, in the 70pt range but idk when he will reach that or if he will. The AHL transition has been great, Helenius was 23rd in the AHL in PPG this past year. He was 3rd for under 21 player behind Bradley Nadeau and Trevor Connelly but had more overall pts than either. I think the Sabres need to be VERY careful about trading a Helenius because there is a lot of underlying counting stats that just scream he's gonna be good. Also he's a center and we need centers. 2 1 Quote
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