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Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #72 Tage Thompson


dudacek
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What do you expect from Tage Thompson?  

45 members have voted

  1. 1. Which of these best describes what you think the Sabres will get from Thompson this year?

    • Legit point-per-game 1st-line centre, what we saw the 2nd half of last season was for real
    • Another 65-point season in a first-line role
    • He had a career year and will slip back a bit, 50-something points is likely
    • Last year was a blip, he's going to struggle and finish with 30-40 points
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On 9/17/2022 at 2:02 PM, dudacek said:

I think so, at least that the polls are trending optimistic. I kinda expected that overall, but not so much with Tage.

Gonna do a wrap/review when they're done in a week or two.

Just Peterka Bryson Tuch and Bjork to go, unless people really want Riley Sheahan thread.

WE WANT MALCOLM!  WE WANT MALCOLM!  WE WANT MALCOLM!  WE WANT MALCOLM!  WE WANT MALCOLM! 

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5 hours ago, French Collection said:

The other wasn’t elite, he was generational.

Another term that gets thrown out there a lot.

That didn’t really answer my question but… OK. 
 

Going on a different tangent than what my question was… Eichel is not generational and Tage is not elite. Obviously the tweet was a tongue in cheek poke at Eichel.

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I know I'm in the minority here, but I expect Tage to regress a little this season, not in terms of his play but in terms of production.  I think he'll score around 30 and add 25-30a this season.  

I think his shooting % will decrease to a more sustainable 12% or so and with others doing well he may actually lose a little PT at DG spreads the wealth and rolls 4 lines.  

None of this is a criticism of Tage, it's just how I see the team being constructed. 

When you look at the Sabres, obviously Tage and Skinner can put up 60+ pts.  However, I see Mitts, Cozens, Quinn, Tuch, VO and even JJP and Krebs having that kind of potential.  That's a huge amount of talent to have floating around and if Mitts and Cozens fulfill that promise this year as I suspect they might, we are going to be a matchup nightmare for many teams.

Edited by GASabresIUFAN
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1 hour ago, Doohickie said:

I define elite as Tage & up.  😉

....and the whole elite thing wasn't the point of that post.  I was just reporting that Tage bought Jack's old place.

I wasn't responding to your post about the house but this... 

8 hours ago, French Collection said:

The other wasn’t elite, he was generational.

Another term that gets thrown out there a lot.

... as a way to define elite and then talk about Tage. 

Generational is the top 1 or 2 guys. McDavid is generational. MacKinnon is elite. Tage is below elite right now. 

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https://theathletic.com/3621131/2022/09/28/nhl-regression-candidates-2022-23/
 

Quote

 

age Thompson, C, Buffalo Sabres

I’m not here to argue that Tage Thompson is a one-year wonder or that the Sabres necessarily made a mistake handing him a long-term extension. It’s clear that moving to centre changed everything for Thompson and that he’s an excellent, improved shooter. With that said, he’s also probably not going to be on the cusp of 40 goals again this season.

Colleague Jonathan Willis did a compelling deep dive explaining why:

Thompson’s success last season is also a testament to the remarkable growth in his finishing ability. Coming into 2021-22, he had scored 12 goals on 230 shots at five-on-five at the NHL level, a 5.2 shooting percentage. Last year he tallied 24 five-on-five goals on 170 shots, a 14.1 percent clip, nearly triple his previous average.

There’s actually a long track record of Thompson struggling to score goals at even strength. In his draft year, he played 36 games for the University of Connecticut and scored a single even-strength goal. As an AHLer — and lumping in power-play minutes — he had a career shooting percentage of 10.6 percent against minor-league goalies.

In watching the tape, Thompson has clearly taken strides as a finisher. But considering he’s a high-volume shooter, I wouldn’t bet on his shooting percentage staying this elevated — he profiles much closer to being someone who consistently pushes for 30 goals per year rather than 40.

 

 

Edited by GASabresIUFAN
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5 hours ago, bg17 said:

Give him a letter. 

He's had an A during the preseason. 

I think he's going to take another big leap this year.  He may not score much more but I think he's just going to be become every team's player they least want to play against.  When he's moving he can just dominate, and he has the size, and finally knows how to use it, that you really can't stop him with physical play. 

When they need that late goal, put Tage, Skinner, Tuch, Dahlin and Power out there, with Cozens as the 6th skater. 

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