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djp14150

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  1. First off there is a major void n the club.... If you look back ver 3 year pans of drafting in the first 3 rounds and score the sabres on success/failure here is what I see 2002-2004: buffalo drafted 6 top 9 forwards/top 6 Dmen/starting goalie. Some of these players were traded. 2005-2007: buffalo drafted 1.5 ...only weber and enroth to show and I give enroth a half point. 2008-2010: buffalo drafts 6 ( includes the hodgson trade which effectively was flipping 1sts in consecutive years ). 2011-2013: Right now at 5 with 4 more picks. 2005-2007 is the void with the team now that separates Vanek, miller, and stafford from the rest of the team. I don't think buffalo should be all that active this year, instead keep thing open for 2014 UFA period and then swing for trades. I see Miller and Stafford around the draft. I see Vanek not being dealt at the draft but first talking to him about an extension and things can't be done then trade him in September. I see Miller brining back a pick or a quality prospect...but this depends on if they have to take a goalie back. Stafford could be dealt for another player like burmistrov, be dealt for pick ... Low 1st, or 2 2nds, or be used as a trade chip to move up from 8th to 4th. Vanek would return a 1 pick plus 2 top 4 young players on a team. For comparison sake Pominville got a 1st and 2 top 5-8 prospects. The flip f picks in 2014 was likely a settlement where buffalo waned one f Minnesota other 2 young goalies ( Kluemper, gustafffsen).. A players I would target in trades... Chris Stewart and bobby Ryan. St Louis is in cap problems this offseason with so many RFA Stewart being one. They could move their pick from Minnesota for him. Ryan could be gotten for Ennis, Stafford, and Gerbe/Adam. What I project right now in the 2014/2015 starting team.... Assuming miller and stafford are dealt. Not including this years first round picks who could have roles. Vanek-hodgson- Ennis Leino-grigorenko-Armia Girgensons-Larrson-Ott Foligno-Cattenacci-Flynn Kaleta, Tropp. Ehrhoff - Pysyk Myers-weber Sekera-ruhwedel McNabb Enroth, Hackett, Makarov After the drafted players the team would have alot of players they could move to turn them into impact players The targeted player the want to get is Barkov at #4, this would crate an all Finland line in him armia, and Leino. If Leino fails next season he becomes a likely contract buyout/amnesty in 2014.
  2. Miller will get traded by next yr trading deadline. He will not be another Drury/Briere and walk away for nothing. Same with Pominville and Vanek. Vanek is the one they will try to keep. The other 2 they trade off for assets.
  3. He gives the list before any negotiation is done so the GM knows he cant talk trade with that team. the list changes season to season.
  4. Theoretically anyone is available. The untradeable players are the ones you arent going to activly market and only would trade if you were given some unbelieveable offer. Such a trade would be a big one. the last major trade like this was the Lafontaine-Turgeon trade. The players this team does not trade: Grigorenko, Armia, Foligno, Myers, Ehrhoff, Hodgson Players likely moved by trade deadline: Leopold, Regehr Players possibly moved by this years deadline: Pominville Players that will be moved before 13-14 trade deadline: Miller, Ott and Vanek. Miller will be traded. He isnt staying in Buffalo . He wants to be near his wife. Ott and Vanek--- will likely talk extension with them and see what the cost will be during the summer. If they cant resign them then they will look at moving them for prospects/picks. Prior to Miller getting traded, they will likely want to get a goalie back in the deal, or they will acquire a goalie first. Potential 2013 Roster buyout: Stafford. Stafford could be held onto next year and traded at the deadline with 1+yr on his contract left. Potential 2014 roster buyout: Leino
  5. Some clarrification..... under article 13 on waivers and callups. Porter given his age is a vested veteran so he had to clear waivers to be sent to Rochester. On call ups he doesnt need to clear waivers. Emergency Recall..... with Porter if he is with the NHL club for 30 days or 10 games...which ever comes first. After such point he needs to clear waivers to be sent back down. Flynn while initially on emergency recall.....he does not have to clear waivers because of his age/NHL experience. There is a formula based on age and number of games played or years on if they have to clear waivers to be sent down to AHL team. What constitutes a year of service when it comes to UFA eligibility. Part of the reason Grigorenko was sent down was to prevent him from accruing 1 yrs of service when it comes to UFA statust. Had he played 23 games this year would have counted as a full year for UFA eligibility for year counts. Stafford is a potential trade asset. You dont want to trade him now when he is at his worst. He is a 2nd line player so he should give a 2nd line players return in a trade....not a give away for a bag of pucks.
  6. djp14150

    Center Ice

    This happens with NBC regional games. If there are 3 designated regional games that will air at 3pm. Your market get one but center ice could still black out the other two games. The blackout has everything to do with local tv network rights. I understand if its the same identical feed it shouldnt matter...but ...its possible the broadcast may be the same but the ads are not. This is how revenue by the station who purchased the rights make up for it by selling ads to more viewers---thus only on one station. In the USA, Canadian broadcasts are not subject to blackout. For example I live in Seattle, through basic cable we get CBC. On saturday we get HNIC on CBC but the feds are also aired on NHL network (USA) and an other games on CBC are carried on Center Ice. Similarly Seattle/Portland are sports network called Comcast NW picks up some games feeds of Vancouver through their cable station feed. These are not protected so a similar broadcast is carried by NHL center ice. When i lived in the Virginia Beach area when Buffalo was good...when Buffalo was playing Ottawa, Carolina played NJ. the Carolina-NJ series had a gamX blacked out in my area for some oddball reason. Raleigh was 3 hrs drive away from where I lived, we had no feed of the Carolina hockey station (FOS sports South)...but they said we did thus since NBC SN didnt have exclusive rights to those games we were blacked out. That wasnt what happened-----that was the Sabres-Rangers playoff series. The game happened on Saturday afternoon. It was the same day as the Kentucky Derby. They didnt plan on the game overrunning their broadcast period for the Derby so they broke away from the game to show the Derby. Versus should have then picked up the feed--but they didnt.
  7. djp14150

    Center Ice

    In Demand is a joint venture by Comcast, Time Warner, and others. One issue is that the way its set the stations used also carry MLB in season package. They have about 12 stations and a few HD stations. Thu by having only 12 stations they cant carry dual feeds of all games. Some games they pick dual feeds on and others they dont. I also think there are rules on how many games they cant take from each teams home broadcast network.
  8. djp14150

    playoff line

    This site is utter crap: http://www.sportsclu...Buffalo.htmlFor this is utterly meaningless unless they post their methodology. They say if buffalo finishes 32-0 they are certain of finishing #1 seed. This is BS. Why --either NJ or Pittsburgh could go 29-3 or something like that over their last 32 games ans still be ahead of Buffalo. The playoff line is around 54 or 55 pts. in the past a 90 pt season usually means a decent chance with being in the playoff run. over 8- games you go 40-30-10=90pts over 8 games you go 4-3-1= 9 pts So over a shortened 48 game schedule this equate to 54 pts necessary for the playoffs. If you look at past seasons their is usually a 50+ pt difference in conference standings from worst to first. This year because of the shortened schedule teams will be fighting so you wont see as much variance in the standings... here is an example.... Say 2 teams in each division play really good. the other 3 in a division are fighting for the final 2 slots. the 2 good teams in each division will have: 4 games against fellow division team, 12 games the other divisions top 2 for a total of 16 games. Within division games would be 14 games against other divisions would be 18 games. top 6 teams 16 games if they split these they are looking at around (7-7-2) 16 pts other division 14 games if they play strong but arent dominant (say 8-5-3) 19 pts other 18 games If they dominate these games (12-4-2) 26 pts total.....61 pts for the bottom 9...... top 2......20 gmaes.... 6-12-2 14 pts division...10 games....4-4-2 10 pts other 6 teams.....18 games.....8-8-2 18 pts total.... 42 pts. Thus the last post season spot would be around 43 or 44. If instead of 6 run away for the playoffs you instead have just 3 ...then the line for the playoffs will raise a little.About a point per team that comes back to the pack. Similarly if there are a few teams that separate themselves toward the bottom, then the playoff line with go up a little.
  9. djp14150

    19-9-2

    The fact that games are all eastern conference doesnt matter than much. With everyone playing each other someone wins and someone loses so you will gain ground on teams. Over the past years low 90s in pts means playoff shot. That is where the 54/55 pts come from...from prorating the schedule to the pts. This year because of it being a shorter season and more teams feel they need to battle now to get to the playoffs teams will be fighting more for points so you will likely see that 54/55 line lower to a more of a .500 pts total of 48 if teams are beating each other up. That 48 pt line could even be lower (44 ) if you have 4 or 5 teams that dominate the conference beating everyone else and then the rest fight each other. The next 13 games are important...... Only 2 are within division.... Only 3 are against top 4 in conference (2 NJ, 1 CAR) this will go a long way in determining if they are in or out. they will be playing everyone from 6 through 15 at least once.
  10. Why the AHL???? next year is Armia entry deal kicks in and Grigs still cant play in the AHL being not 20. I figure seeing them playing together in Buffalo Armia-Grigs-Foligno/Girgs
  11. ROR is not worth $5M per year. It also screws up the pay given to their top players when they come up. The 4 possible trades that could be done for ROR for Buffalos perspective: Stafford + Pysak/McNabb Sekera + Girgenson Sekera +Adam+ 2nd/3rd ( pick # 46-75) Sekera +Ennis--- in return it would be ROR plus COL #1 in 2013 (top 10 pick) Sekera is the only veteran moveable player on Defense that isnt in a walk year. Buffalo doesnt have much moveable forwards other than Stafford, Girgenson, and Adam. Grigs, Armia, and Folignio are untradeable unless an absolute #1 line player is coming back.
  12. because of depth and bidding war. They want an experience defenseman back. Sekera fits that bill. they want a young prospect or pick. Girgenson is expendable because he is the same mold in expectations as ROR. Hodgson is a RFA after the season ennis was an RFA after the year and got one of those bridge contracts of 2 yrs. Hodgson likely gets something similar in the offseason.
  13. Folignio, Armia, and Grigorenko are on the NO TRADE LIST. ROR is not worth giving up one of them. He is a third line Center. The only way i give up one of those 3 is if its for an obvious #1 line player. I remember seeing Drury and he had much more offensive skill than ROR.
  14. HISTORY LESSON FIRST: A comparative story is the Michael Peca saga. They were similar players in their styles and roles. Peca was much better in juniors than ROR. Peca scored 90 in his 2 years while ROR never broke 20 in either year. They were both in the role of the defensive center who wanted to be paid like a 1st liner. Peca was traded for Connolly and Pyatt. ROR isnt all that much different than Gausted. the idea he is going to be a 30 goal scorer is utter nuts. He will be a 15 g 20 A type of player. My trade offer: Sekera + Girgenson they need improvement on defense and Girgenson is looked to be similar to an ROR type of Center. If they insist on getting Ennis + Sekera for ROR then something else is coming back with ROR--- like their 2013 1st round pick,
  15. djp14150

    19-9-2

    You dont need to be a statistical expert..... if you go 40-30-10 over 80 games you are at 90 pts. Then you have 2 more games. The line for having a playoff shot has been around 90 pts. If you prorate this to a 48 game schedule means you go 4-3-1 over each 8 game stretch...or 9 pts in 8 games. With 48 games this means 6 8 game blocks,....thus 9* 6 = 54 pts...... Since this is a shorter season and if you have more teams fighting for a slot from the start it will likely lower that playoff line to around 50 because more teams are closer to .500 by beating each other up 19-19-10 would give 48 pts. At the mid point of this season the pt total you want to get to would be 12-9-3 or 27 pts. right now they are 6-9-1 13 pts so they need to go on a streak over their next 8 games. The talent is there with this team...its just a matter of them clicking together. Last year outside of that injury bug from mid Nov-mid Jan they played at a pace for top in the conference.
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