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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
LGR4GM replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Truthfully? I see some good with Buffalo. They certainly are a better checking team and the defense doesn't make me want to gouge my soul out. Kesselring is as advertised which I love. Finally prospects don't have roster spots unless injuries occur. The PK deserves praise. Lyon and to an extent Ellis and potentially Luukkonen have been solid to really good. -
Last year and this season (so far) have been abnormally low for team save percentages. We're still early in 25-26 so there's likely some clutter and teams will tighten up a bit as the season goes on, but it's notable. Team percentages also include empty net goals, so you could be seeing a bit more "risk + screw it, we're down 2 with 5 minutes left, let's pull the goalie early" goals than in previous seasons. Here are team save percentages going back a bit: 2025 .890 2024 .893 2023 .898 2022 .899 2021 .902 2020 .903 2019 .905 2018 .905 2017 .908 2016 .910 2015 .910 3 on 3 OT in effect 2014 .911 And you go back to the dead puck era thinking it'll be monstrously higher... No, not really. (Makes you appreciate Hasek all the more.) 2004 .908 2003 .906 2002 .905 2001 .901 2000 .902 1999 .906 As to why. I don't think it's the goaltenders themselves: they are positionally sound, make spectacular saves, etc. There are subpar goalies, yes. But we've seen much better shot selection in recent years. Teams aren't just shooting from the blue line and hoping, they're much more patient with the puck. Power plays have had some abnormally high success rates (three teams had a 28+ PP% last year and the league average was over 21% -- which is rising in general in recent years). Since it was introduced 3 on 3 overtimes have changed from "skate and shoot" to possess and exit the zone, but maintain possession at all costs -- working for the high danger shot. (Luukkonen was great last night and made 5 saves, but prior to that this season the Sabres had given up 3 goals on 5 shots to rock a .400 sv%). I think in general it's the offensive coaches putting analytics and video to good effect.
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
Jorcus replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
A few random comments about the game. Sabres are certainly tougher to play against this year. Dahlin may not be playing great but he is not hurting you on defense and you add that to all the rest of them it's pretty stout. If Power is your weak link I think any other team would wish for that top 6. Sabres still have a problem scoring on the a+ chances the generate. You have to think at least one night they will all go in. The Quinn, Kulich, Rosen line was good in the O zone but had trouble in the D zone. That was a tough test against Washington. Ovi is quickly becoming and anchor. He will get his goal but I expect the ice time is going to be less and less. UPL was fighting the puck in the first half of the game but did settle down. Even the first goal was bit of a mess when Byram moved the puck up the wall I think he hit the refs skate and it caused a turnover with everyone of of position. They were not able to overcome the scramble. The second goal Power cheated in the zone, No one covered the vacated point and Washington just sent the puck to open ice. Third was a hard bouncer. The Sabres have really got to focus on getting that 4th goal. It's hard to win with three anymore. -
Pre-shot movement is the next analytics frontier. Idk how goalies will adapt.
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
That Aud Smell replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Ehhh. Disagree. Weโre missing those all world flourishes, for one. Seems that way. Great crowd last night, for sure. Thatโs not a โnoโ though, is it? ๐คฃ -
Truthfully, Benson's shooting is frustrating but I don't think the shot is as bad as advertised. He's not a sniper but he's gonna get 20 this season. Doesn't help that Thompson is the shooter on that line and they feed him looks.
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I think this is at least partly correct. Also, as I stated up thread, this year is significantly better than last year, although a very small sample size.
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Goalies are worse because analytics and coaches figured out more successful ways to generate good shots. Cross ice passing, passes from behind the net, point shots that are meant for deflection, even screening. I think it's an evolution of how offense works and goalies can only do so much. That's my opinion.
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
LGR4GM replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Sure, but that's one win less over 10 games which is 8 wins less over a season. I'd love to have more faith but after 14yrs, they gotta prove it. We'll see what the next 10 games holds. -
Is the shooting percentage higher league wide? If the shooters were getting better it would show up there somehow.
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
LGR4GM replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
I think making this personal like that, is lazy, low, and shows your true colors. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
Freeezo replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Is it just me or are crowds at home games alot bigger? -
Ice cream is not milk. For the record, the taste of milk bothers me far more than where it comes from.
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I posted this in another thread but this is a continuation of a trend that has been going on for a number of years. I took the save percentage of .910 which used to be what you could expect out of almost any decent starting goalie. The number of goal tenders who have bested this number has declined drastically over a fairly short amount of time. Year ending number of goalies above .910 save percentage. AHL numbers 25 10 16 24 16 21 23 17 19 22 26 18 21 25 9 20 30 17 19 29 17 18 31 26 I could go back further but the number seems to hoover around that 30 mark. So what is causing this. Are goaltenders worse? Are shooters better? Has the NHL asked the refs to change the way they call the game? I was just curious so I put in the AHL numbers. The 9 was the covid year so you can pretty much chuck that one. Going back a few more years in the AHL it was in the low 20's. I lean toward the shooters getting better causing this trend but not really certain about that would have to dig up some more stats.
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
inkman replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Idk, Dahlin always kinda looks like this, itโs just slightly worse this season -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
That Aud Smell replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
lol - i see a robust โwhat is .500โ debate ensued upthread. i look only at true .500 as a threshold for being good because, if you ainโt there, you need the stars to align to make the playoffs. plus, i wonโt toe the line for gary bettmanโs loser point parity project. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
That Aud Smell replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
East looks wide open and fairly mediocre this season. Claw back to true .500 and go from there (5-7 currently). Itโs probably been posted upthread (I was in the arena and didnโt post or follow), but Dahlin looks like a shell of himself. - Today
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
JohnC replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
What position of strength and abundance do we have on the roster to deal to recalibrate it? Usually, a reshaping deal is done in the offseason. In my view, the most impactful player transaction would be getting back Norris. And as you noted, Iโm not confident in our current GM making such a deal, especially when he feels pressure to do so. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
PromoTheRobot replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Always look for the cloud in the silver lining. Do you derive sustenance from being negative? We are 1 point out of a playoff spot and 5 points from the top spot in the conference. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
PromoTheRobot replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Did you see why they were "passive?" Dahlin and Thompson were caught out there for minutes. In fact Tage got felled by a blocked shot and gutted it out because he couldn't get to the bench. It was 3-on-2 for a while the Caps were able to change the times!!! -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
Archie Lee replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
I donโt agree with the premise that trading value for value results in treading-water rather than progress. Obviously, itโs not a guarantee of progress. But, if you trade value from a position of strength in exchange for something valuable that is missing, it can be quite impactful. Apprehension over Adams ability to recognize and execute such a move is fair, though. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
Night Train replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Sabres have closed out 5 games out of 12. So they still need to improve A LOT. Still in that frame of mind that an actual win is somewhat surprising. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
JohnC replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
If Norris returns that will be the add. The Sabres are basically a fringe wild-card team. Any impactful add will require a meaningful subtraction that will basically not advance the needle. This is a KA constructed team. What you are is what you are. -
Not sure what you are talking about. Last year only ten teams finished above .900 and Buffalo finished 31st st .879 ahead of only the Flyers.
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, ๐ ๐บ ESPN+/MSG
shrader replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Itโs so ridiculously early for a standings assessment like that. Just look at how many teams they leap frog with one single win. In the big picture, would that one win really mean all that much? What does matter is that they dug themselves a big hole to start and have rebounded nicely from it. Can they keep that going and continue to climb?
